内容简介
人工智能发展所带来的颠覆即将到来。
目前，人工智能已经影响了全球许多行业——金融、制药、汽车、医疗、制造和零售等。然而，这只是人工智能开始向更便宜、更好、更快预测迈进的开始，当预测被发挥到极致时，各行各业就会发生转变，而这种转变也会带来颠覆。
其根源何在？著名经济学家阿杰伊·阿格拉沃尔、乔舒亚·甘斯和阿维·戈德法布在他们的第一本畅销书《AI极简经济学》中，解释了人工智能虽然简单却能改变游戏规则的经济学。现在，在《权力与预测》一书中，他们更深入地研究了最基本的分析单位：决策。三位作者认为，决策的两个关键要素是预测和判断，我们在头脑中将两者结合在一起，却往往没有意识到这一点。人工智能的兴起正在将预测从人类转移到机器，从而减轻人们的认知负担，同时提高决策的速度和准确性。
这为新决策的蓬勃发展创造了条件，并对系统层面的创新产生了深远影响。重新设计相互影响的决策系统需要时间。当前，许多行业正处于暴风雨前的宁静期，但当这些新系统出现时，它们会在全球范围内产生颠覆性影响。决策赋予权力。在行业中，权力带来利润；在社会中，权力带来控制。在这个过程中，有赢家也会有输家，作者向读者展示了企业应如何利用机遇，以及如何保护自身地位。
这本书充满了启发性的见解、丰富的实例和实用的建议，是任何企业领导者或政策制定者的必读指南。
作者简介
阿杰伊·阿格拉沃尔（Ajay Agrawal）
创新颠覆实验室创始人，多伦多大学罗特曼管理学院战略管理教授。
乔舒亚·甘斯（Joshua Gans）
创新颠覆实验室首席经济学家，多伦多大学罗特曼管理学院战略管理教授。
阿维·戈德法布（Avi Goldfarb）
创新颠覆实验室首席数据科学家，多伦多大学罗特曼管理学院营销学教授。
Content introduction
The disruption brought about by the development of artificial intelligence is coming.
Ai is already impacting many industries around the world - finance, pharmaceuticals, automotive, healthcare, manufacturing and retail, among others. However, this is just the beginning of AI's march toward cheaper, better, and faster predictions, and when prediction is taken to its extreme, there will be a transformation of industries, and this transformation will also bring disruption.
What is the root cause? Renowned economists Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb explain the game-changing economics of AI, albeit simple, in their first best-selling book, The Minimalist Economics of AI. Now, in Power and Prediction, they delve deeper into the most basic unit of analysis: decision making. The authors argue that two key elements of decision-making are prediction and judgment, and that we combine the two in our minds, often without realizing it. The rise of artificial intelligence is shifting predictions from humans to machines, reducing the cognitive burden on people while improving the speed and accuracy of decision making.
This has created the conditions for new decisions to flourish and has had a profound impact on system-level innovation. Redesigning interacting decision-making systems takes time. Currently, many industries are in a quiet period before the storm, but when these new systems emerge, they will have a disruptive impact on a global scale. Decision-making empowers. In business, power brings profit; In society, power brings control. In the process, there will be winners and losers, and the author shows the reader how companies should take advantage of opportunities and protect their position.
Packed with enlightening insights, rich examples, and practical advice, this book is a must-read guide for any business leader or policy maker.
About the author
Ajay Agrawal
Founder of the Innovation Disruption Lab and Professor of Strategic Management at the Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto.
Joshua Gans
Chief Economist at the Innovation Disruption Lab and Professor of Strategic Management at the Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto.
Avi Goldfarb
Principal Data Scientist, Innovation Disruption Lab, Professor of Marketing, Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto.
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